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The Black vote and Hillary

I may get into trouble for this but i'm going to do it anyway because I don't hear even Dick Morris talking about it.

Two years I ago (I think) I brought a book called "Condi V.S. Hillary" by Dick Morris. In the book he talked about how Condi could beat Hillary in a 2008 Presidential Election. The reason why I'm bringing this up is because in the book Dick Morris described a situation that I will call the battle of the black vote that is now playing out between Obama & Hillary. We didn't get Condi as a Republican Presidential candidate (dang!) but however we got the same issue that Dick Morris far saw  would happen if a black candidate was to run against Hillary.  The following is from the book "Condi V.S. Hillary".

"Condoleezza Rice can defeat Hillary - and it may be that no other Republican can. Where she to run, her candidacy would strike directly at the three pillars of the Democratic Party's political base: African Americans, Hispanics, and white women. The Democratic Party cannot win without fully tapping all three sources of votes. If African Americans had not voted solidly for Kerry in 2004, the Democrat would have been beaten in a landslide. The only reason why the Massachusetts senator carried New Your, California, Illinois, New Jersey, Michigan, and Pennsylvania was the solid support he got from African Americans ." Chapter 3

"
A Hillary Clinton candidacy is particularly strong because of her appeal to all three bastions of Democratic power. Because of her husband's long identification with minority voters, her efforts to court Hispanic voters, and her own gender and record of feminism, she stands to cash in on the support of all three groups in a huge way" first paragraph Page 52

"How would the black community vote? Their heads would be for Hillary" Mike Espy predicts "But their hearts would be with Condi" When Dick Morris pressed him for a numerical prediction he said "My guess is that the race [among African American voters] would be pretty much even. Hillary may have a bit of an edge because of the hegemony of the Democratic Party base, but Condi would run much, much better then any other Republican. My guess would be a 60-40 Hillary margin" last paragraph page 52

After getting this prediction from Espy, Dick Morris then questions a black Democratic congressman from a swing state who he says was in office (might still be) and because of witch this congressman was reluctant to make a prediction but he did so off the record. So we won't know who to give the credit to but here it goes. Page 53:

This congressman went even father then Espy saying that he thought Condi would carry the black vote.
"I think black America would be torn" he predicts (much as they are now between Obama and Clinton) "But I think they would ultimately come down on the side of Condi Rice. Even with President Clinton campaigning for Hillary, I think Condi would represent a serious thread to Hillary. I'm for Mrs. Clinton. But I think Rice would be a very strong candidate". first paragraph page 53

Dick Morris then goes on and talk about how a major shift of black people voting for Republicans would be a major shift in American politics. But the Obama-Hillary contest is being fought out (or should I say race contest?) inside the Democratic Party so this part of the discussion does not address what I'm trying to address in the post. So If you want to read about that I suggest you by the book, it's really good by the way, you're probably can get it real cheap used on Amazon.com. Maybe Dick will follow up with an Obama V.S. Hillary book.

The rest of the chapter really doesn't fit with where I wanted to go with this post. But it was just interesting to me how what Dick wrote about in this book is actually happening just instead of it being against Condi a Republican and Hillary a Democratic it's an Obama A Democratic and Hillary a Democratic. I really do think that if Obama does not snag this nomination (as I said in my vlog) it will damage the Democratic Party. I don't know how they will fix the problem, because the out cry from the community will be so strong that there's no way Obama will be Hillary's Vice President. The community wouldn't support that...I don't think.
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